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- Market & Momentum - 12/29/2025
Market & Momentum - 12/29/2025
From AI red-team breakthroughs to fresh zero-day exploits, this week’s threat forecast shows offense and defense racing neck-and-neck. Here’s what to watch—and what to fix—before the gap closes.
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AI now plays both hero and villain in the cyber arena. From autonomous bug-patching to AI-powered exploits, last week’s DEF CON 33 proved that the speed of offense and defense is converging — and only the fastest will survive.

Trend (Macro) | Likelihood | Direction | What it looks like in real life |
|---|---|---|---|
Perimeter auth edge-cases (VPN/SSO/2FA bypass) | 75% | 🔺 Rising | “Valid” logins that aren’t valid, often from username/case quirks or identity plumbing. |
Database exposure & secret leakage (MongoDB / creds / keys) | 68% | 🔺 Rising | Memory disclosure → secrets → follow-on access. |
Ransomware surge (leak-site volume + opportunistic intrusions) | 72% | 🔺 Rising | High-volume postings + “smash-and-grab” intrusions while teams rotate. |
Consumer-device patch urgency (browser/WebKit style bugs) | 55% | ➡ Stable | Targeted exploitation remains selective, but exec devices are high value. |
KEV-driven exploitation of exposed appliances | 60% | ➡ Stable | If it lands in KEV, it gets automated attention fast. |
Fortinet: active exploitation of SSL VPN 2FA bypass behavior - See CVE-2020-12812 exploitation warning
Why you care: This is the kind of “it’s old, so we ignored it” flaw that shows up in real intrusions.MongoDB “MongoBleed” exploitation is trending fast - Use Wiz’s exploitation + detection rundown wiz.io
Why you care: disclosure → PoC → exploitation → credential theft is the usual progression.Independent confirmation: MongoBleed exploited in the wild - Track updates via Tenable’s coverage
Why you care: this supports prioritization when teams argue whether it’s “real.”Ransomware victim postings spiked (daily leak-site volume) - Use Purple Ops’ 12/26 report
Why you care: volume spikes correlate with opportunistic access, not “one big bad actor.”KEV-driven exposure pressure continues (camera/NVR class devices) - Read SCWorld’s Digiever KEV coverage
Why you care: Even “non-critical” devices become pivots when they sit inside your network.Apple patch urgency for targeted WebKit exploitation (exec-device risk) - See Forbes’ patch callout
Why you care: this category disproportionately hits leadership travel devices and personal phones used for corporate access.
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“Old” edge flaws are back because defenders are tired, not because attackers are clever.
The Fortinet 2FA bypass activity is a reminder that adversaries don’t need new bugs when orgs still have exposed remote access paths that never got fully hardened. Holiday windows turn “legacy risk” into “active risk.”
Memory disclosure ≠ “just a crash.” It’s a secrets problem.
MongoBleed-style issues aren’t scary because of the CVE label — they’re scary because anything that can leak memory can leak API keys, session tokens, DB creds, or auth material. That turns a “database issue” into a multi-system compromise.
Leak-site volume is the early-warning siren for opportunistic intrusion waves.
When daily ransomware postings spike, it usually means affiliates are cashing in on whatever access they already had — and hunting for new victims with the fastest paths (exposed edge devices, weak identity controls, stolen creds). Treat volume as “pressure rising,” not just bad PR.
KEV isn’t “government paperwork.” It’s the scanner’s shopping list.
Once something is KEV-adjacent, it becomes automation-friendly. That means your exposure matters more than your industry. If the device is reachable, it’s a target — even if it’s “just” an NVR.
Executive devices are quietly becoming part of the corporate perimeter.
Targeted WebKit exploitation isn’t a mass event for most orgs, but it’s high-value when it hits leadership phones used for email, MFA prompts, travel Wi-Fi, and “quick approvals.” It’s less about iOS itself and more about the access those devices broker.
Fortinet SSL VPN 2FA bypass: lock down SSL VPN exposure, validate 2FA behavior under LDAP, and alert on case-variant username logins.
MongoBleed: treat as “secrets at risk” — rotate credentials potentially stored in MongoDB-connected apps and monitor for anomalous reads + credential reuse.
Ransomware surge: confirm offline backups + restore testing, and tighten admin login pathways (jump hosts, conditional access, VPN geo policies).
KEV appliance exposure: remove internet exposure for NVR/IoT class devices, isolate VLANs, and block outbound beaconing from those segments.
Apple/WebKit patch urgency: require latest OS/browser patch levels on exec devices and enable high-risk browsing protections where available.
Holiday incidents aren’t advanced… they’re unattended.
If identity, edge access, and firmware posture are locked down now, attackers lose their easiest week of the year.
Most breaches succeed not because defenses failed, but because nobody was watching.
J.W.
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Ready to transform artificial intelligence from a buzzword into your personal revenue generator
HubSpot’s groundbreaking guide "200+ AI-Powered Income Ideas" is your gateway to financial innovation in the digital age.
Inside you'll discover:
A curated collection of 200+ profitable opportunities spanning content creation, e-commerce, gaming, and emerging digital markets—each vetted for real-world potential
Step-by-step implementation guides designed for beginners, making AI accessible regardless of your technical background
Cutting-edge strategies aligned with current market trends, ensuring your ventures stay ahead of the curve
Download your guide today and unlock a future where artificial intelligence powers your success. Your next income stream is waiting.



