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- Market & Momentum - 11/24/2025
Market & Momentum - 11/24/2025
New Oracle EBS leak, WAF zero-day exploited via Metasploit, and record DDoS volumes target cloud services. This week demands edge hardening and resilience sprinting.
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In the last four days: the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) added a critical Oracle Identity Manager zero-day to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) list, a new Metasploit module targets Fortinet FortiWeb appliances (CVE-2025-64446/CVE-2025-58034) with unauthenticated root-RCE, and cloud-scale DDoS attacks hit new records… highlighting that resilience is now as urgent as patching.

Trend (macro) | Global Likelihood | Direction | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|
Enterprise application zero-days (Oracle EBS/Identity) | 74% | 🔺 Rising | Oracle added to KEV; attackers targeting business-critical ERP/ID systems. (The Hacker News) |
WAF/Edge appliance exploitation | 68% | 🔺 Rising | Exploit module released for Fortinet WAF zero-days; edge remains weakest link. (Cyber Security News) |
Cloud-scale DDoS/availability attacks | 63% | 🔺 Rising | Surge in terabit-level attacks threatened major services; availability risk climbing. (diesec.com) |
Supply-chain tooling & registry tampering | 57% | ➡ Stable | Earlier peaks in supply chain abuse; still relevant but not spiking. |
Patch-management backlog + segmentation risk | 52% | 🔺 Rising | Multiple high-priority advisories compressed remediation windows further. |
CISA warns of actively exploited Oracle Identity Manager zero-day — The flaw allows unauthenticated remote code execution in Oracle Identity Manager; added to KEV.
Metasploit adds exploit module for Fortinet FortiWeb zero-days — Release of exploit code accelerates risk for WAF/edge appliances.
Google patches Chrome V8 zero-day exploited in the wild — Vulnerability enables heap corruption; browser remains a high-risk target.
Cloud-scale DDoS volumes hit new peaks — Attacks of over 15 Tbps observed; availability and redundancy now top concern.
Threat actors listing Microsoft Office zero-day RCE for sale — Pre-exploit marketplace activity signals elevated risk of new chain attacks.
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Business-critical apps are front-line targets: Oracle EBS/ID flaws show attackers aim high.
Edge appliances = new pivot zones: WAFs and network gear increasingly exploited for lateral movement.
DDoS returning as a strategic tool: Focus shifting from just data theft to disruption.
Browser/office ecosystem still ripe for chain attacks: Pre-exploit listings + zero-days = early warning.
Remediation windows contracting: Overlapping high-priority advisories create scheduling bottlenecks.
Oracle ERP/Identity: Inventory all Oracle Identity Manager/EBS instances; apply the CVE-2025-61757 fix or implement mitigations; isolate these systems if patching will be delayed.
WAF and edge appliances: Update FortiWeb appliances immediately; run exploit detection for known modules; restrict admin consoles to internal management networks.
Browser fleet: Push Chrome Stable to the latest version (addressing CVE-2025-5419); enforce browser update policy on user devices.
Availability planning: Validate DDoS mitigation strategies with your CDN/WAF vendor; simulate fail-over scenarios and ensure cloud redundancy.
Change-control triage: Prioritize zero-day + exploit-confirmed patches first; update patch calendar and defer non-essential changes with documented risk-acceptance.
When exploit modules hit Metasploit and KEV entries drop the same week, the advantage goes to the team that treats deployment priority as a stock indicator.
Patch first. Harden next. Recover always.
J.W.
(P.S. Forward to your CISO / Add to Board Briefing!)
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